Use geometric instead of arithmetic
averages, and use exact instead of the approximate method when doing your
calculations.
Geometric Mean = [(1+R1 )*(1+R2)*(1+ R3 )***(1+RN )]1/N -1
Statistical Report Worksheet:
Country:
Sweden
Six-year time
period
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Geom. Avg.
Inflation Rate:
US
2.8
1.6
2.3
2.7
3.4
3.2
Inflation Rate:
Sweden
2.4
2.2
1.9
0.4
0.5
1.4
Interest Rate: US
3.7
1.7
1.2
1.6
3.5
5.2
Interest Rate:
Sweden
4.0
4.1
3.0
2.1
1.7
2.3
% Change in
Sweden SR (Indirect quote)
12.7
-6.0
-16.9
-9.1
1.7
-1.3
% Change in
Sweden SR (Direct quote)
% Change in
Sweden Sr (Direct quote) =[1/(1+change IQ]-1
PPP Implications:
Annual Uncovered Rate (For US)
Annual Uncovered Rate (for Canada)
Suggestion investment strategy based on
IFE:
After you complete the Statistical Report Worksheet above, use it to
answer the five questions listed below based on the calculations using the data
for Sweden and the US during years 2001-2006.
Please answer the
following five questions:
Q1.During years
2001-2006:
US dollar appreciated / depreciated(choose
one) in real terms against the currency of foreign country.
Q2.During years
2001-2006, what was the average uncovered rate of returnfrom the USviewpoint for the foreign country?
Q3.During years
2001-2006, what was the average uncovered rate of returnfrom the
foreign country’s viewpoint?
Q4.Based on your
answers to questions 2 and 3, given perfect hindsight about interest rates and
exchange rate changes during years 2001-2006 you should have:
Invested/
borrowed(choose one) in the US and invested / borrowed(choose
one) in foreign country.
Q5.Assume that
you could both borrow and invest at the average interest rates prevailing in
foreign country and in the US during the assigned time period. Also assume that
you have a line of credit for one million dollars in the US or an equivalent
amount in foreign country. Given perfect hindsight about interest rates and
exchange rate changes, please calculate your total profit in dollars using
uncovered interest arbitrageduring the assigned time period if you
followed the strategy chosen in Q4.
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